Source
Approved data feed, document, event, price, weather, policy, research, or odds source.
Glass Lab targethttps://glass-lab.up.railway.app?artifact=policy-economics%3Asource
Plain-language user guide
How to use Policy Lab
Track official records, macro pressure, spending signals, and the proof trail behind KELLY forecast movement.
Workflow
Use the lab in five moves
- Choose a proof preset that matches the question you care about.
- Ask KELLY inside this lab to get the sector-specific response without leaving the page.
- Inspect the live forecast showcase and proof-route status before trusting the output.
- Open the Glass Lab artifact target to trace source, proof, replay, and settlement evidence.
- Open the full Ask KELLY app only when you want the broader cross-sector conversation.
Artifact spine
The required proof path
Observation
A tagged fact candidate KELLY can inspect without trusting blindly.
Glass Lab targethttps://glass-lab.up.railway.app?artifact=policy-economics%3Aobservation
Hypothesis
The causal question, bridge, or forecast KELLY wants reality to test.
Glass Lab targethttps://glass-lab.up.railway.app?artifact=policy-economics%3Ahypothesis
Proof receipt
The evidence packet that explains what KELLY saw and why it moved.
Glass Lab targethttps://glass-lab.up.railway.app?artifact=policy-economics%3Aproof
Replay
The reconstruction path that proves the chain can be rebuilt later.
Glass Lab targethttps://glass-lab.up.railway.app?artifact=policy-economics%3Areplay
Settlement
The reality-close record: what happened, when, and from which authority.
Glass Lab targethttps://glass-lab.up.railway.app?artifact=policy-economics%3Asettlement
Calibration
The score that separates accuracy from confident language.
Glass Lab targethttps://glass-lab.up.railway.app?artifact=policy-economics%3Acalibration
Memory eligibility
A replay-backed candidate that may influence future KELLY work.
Glass Lab targethttps://glass-lab.up.railway.app?artifact=policy-economics%3Amemory
Proof presets
High-value forecasts this lab is built to inspect
24-hour policy signal
Which official release or rule change is likely to matter next?
Why this mattersShort-term proof that KELLY can notice official source changes quickly.
Reality signalFederal Register, FRED release, USAspending update, source receipt
Open proof targetMacro pressure forecast
Which macro pressure is most likely to shift forecasts: inflation, jobs, rates, growth, or spending?
Why this mattersMedium-term proof that KELLY can connect public indicators into a causal forecast.
Reality signalindicator change, causal link, forecast delta, settlement plan
Open proof targetInstitutional trend thesis
Which public-policy or spending trend is most likely to create measurable downstream effects?
Why this mattersLong-term proof that KELLY can track slow loops and revise with evidence.
Reality signalofficial record, lagging measure, calibration, replayable thesis
Open proof targetSource families
What KELLY watches
- Federal Register
- USAspending
- FRED
- DataUSA
- FEC and official public records
- World Bank and macro public APIs
Proof standard
What makes it trustworthy
- Official sources are tagged separately from interpretation.
- Causal claims need a named pathway and falsifier.
- Forecast movement must say what evidence changed.
- Settlement and calibration happen after reality closes.
Boundary
What this is not
This is not financial, legal, tax, or investment advice. It is a read-only public evidence and forecasting interface.
Every displayed forecast must link to Glass Lab or clearly say the artifact is pending.
User controls
Export, delete, location, feedback
Use Causalea Settings for browser-local export/delete, private coarse location, appearance, and feedback. This lab does not store precise coordinates and does not let public users write KELLY Prime.